Sam @samryan18
goodhart's law and burrito folklore. https://t.co/GQpxnka3on samryan18.github.io SF, CA. & other places too Joined June 2011-
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you're telling me that 7 is prime. but do you know what else i've been told? that fish can swim through the earth's core unharmed. but the core is very dense and partly solid, as well as extremely hot. no way i'm falling for those lies again. therefore, 7 is not prime
bad news, friends. it's neither purely a marathon nor purely a sprint. it's a marathon that you have to sprint through the entire way.
even if every SaaS tool can be one shot with codex snd SaaS is dead, there is zero percent chance legacy businesses can describe their own needs well enough there will be a new mckinsey, but with product manager that are actually not useless
humans are extremely good at taking an immediate decision, but extremely bad at predicting the trajectory of multiple decisions in a tree i transcribed 50k tokens to codex and tried to one shot a full dev tool - the only hard part left is to get good at predicting what i need
It is weird that global AI policy has converged on "immanentize the eschaton." I assume it is because policy makers don't really believe it is the eschaton they are immanentizing.
What is the solution? Part of it has to be raising the salience of this topic, pointing out the ways policymakers systematically misunderstand and dismiss it, and explicitly and overtly championing the ceiling-raising role of instruction. x.com/mbateman/statu…
The way this point is made: “This child will be fine.” Drives me nuts. First, it’s untrue. Being bored and low key alienated from institutions for years is not conducive to being fine. Second, the suppressed premise is “only raising floors matters, not raising ceilings”.
An underrated problem with misaligned incentives: they can cause people to mistrust each other even if no bad behavior has actually occurred Simply knowing someone's incentives are misaligned is enough to plant a seed of doubt in every action they take
@NielsHoven With you there. But what does "putting in the time" entail here? Presumably some form of empiricism? Perhaps you're suggesting simply "go with whatever (or whomever) seems most reasonable"?
Yup that was definitely a good idea
Considering moving from Austin to SF to be able to meet more interesting people in person. People familiar with SF, good or bad idea at this point?
@StuartJRitchie @alexabelson9 [1 year later] “After a complaint, the authors audited their data and identified errors in the analysis including […]” who could possibly have seen it coming??
@jxnlco Talk to @minney_cat and @lisawehden
Ensuring top talent can come and stay in the US is one of the most surefire ways for the US to maintain global competitiveness. If you're navigating US immigration right now, you shouldn't have to do it alone. DMs are open
can't believe people are just OK with the state of things in sf. vile city
False. It’s La Corneta. 🌯
Ensuring top talent can come and stay in the US is one of the most surefire ways for the US to maintain global competitiveness. If you're navigating US immigration right now, you shouldn't have to do it alone. DMs are open
how incredible that the most important city on earth looks like this. it could have looked like Gary, Indiana or Karachi. but God has chosen this place. many times now
but yea - alignment of the super human will be ez
And many known loopholes (note: humans are far from optimized to find such loopholes!)
We’ve had our best and brightest writing libraries worth of laws that try to solve the human-to-human alignment problem for thousands of years
Some more thoughts on progress, and why meaning isn't a "nice to have", but the engine that actually drives it:
The only important fact about WALL-E is that they solved the alignment problem.
people should not concern themselves with arguments about dysgenics and social decay and such on the eve of technological singularity. whatever traits you want in people you can likely engineer them — avoid WALLE scenario easily
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