TickerTracker @TickerTracker_
Prediction market data discovery tools for researchers, reporters, and analysts. Joined June 2026-
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Saturday was another record day of volume for Kalshi and its first above $4 billion -- almost 20x bigger than the same Saturday last year.
Polymarket US crypto volume doing well since 15-min up/down launch < 30d ago 📈
Biggest combos of the weekend, by number of legs:
🏆 Centipede Combo of the Week(™) on Kalshi - 453 legs - $47 to win $1,462 (~+3000) - 27 misses (7 voids; 28 still open) - Lost before the 1 p.m. games kicked off
Kalshi came close to $8 billion by itself, with back-to-back volume records on Saturday and Sunday for the fourth time this season.
More than $10 billion was traded across tracked prediction market platforms this weekend -- up 11% from last weekend to a new two-day record.
Sydney Sweeney and a 21+ pledge: Novig’s fearless path to $2 billion (via @nextpredictio) nextpredict.io/market-news/in…
There were 232,747 individual combos of 21+ legs: - 2,446 won (1.05%) - 4,479 still open The hit rate for the 51-100 bucket (1.55%) was higher than the 31-50 bucket (0.57%), but skewed by a fairly popular 71-leg multi-sport combo that came in. Nothing over 100 legs hit (0 for 711).
Kalshi recorded a record $3.7 billion in Sunday volume and more than $7.1 billion for the weekend. Sports + combos made up 91% of volume on both days.
@Kalshi And the Centipede Combo of the Week award goes to...
Football trading Saturday + Sunday combined: - Straight markets: $897 million (13% of total) - Football combos: $3.1 billion (44%) - Total: $4.0 billion (56%) Football legs made up 63% of all combos for the weekend. Soccer was #2 at 14%. About 8% of combo contracts had more than 20 legs.
I do a weekly podcast about prediction markets at The Event Horizon, and I am terrible at sharing clips from. This week, talked PM volume with @Eric_Ramsey of @TickerTracker_. Available on Spotify and Apple Podcasts
Sunday on Kalshi: Another volume record at $3.04 billion, just a few bucks ahead of Saturday. It is the sixth time Kalshi has bested its own single-day record in September. Rams/Broncos moves to #2 on the list of NFL regular-season games, behind only Colts/Chiefs in Week 2.
Kalshi set another single-day volume record yesterday, its second straight Saturday above $3 billion. Sports + Combos were >90% of the total.
@TickerTracker_ Nah, Kalshi has a fee accumulator to prevent rounding-up from costing you more than 1c per market. So it's maybe losing $26.13/day not $432/day. Likely just someone farming volume for a higher rate limit tier if I had to guess!
Kalshi did $15.3 billion in notional volume last week. About 60% -- or $9.1 billion -- of that volume was on parlays, which are almost entirely based on sports events. My read is it's going to be increasingly difficult to frame this as non-gambling activity. Data per @TickerTracker_
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